Saturday, August 24, 2013

Rutgers 2013 QB Season Preview: Quarterbacks

Last season, Gary Nova was Rutgers' greatest enigma. The then sophomore experienced some of the highest of highs (397 yards, 5 TD, 0 INT against Arkansas) and some of the lowest of lows (6 interceptions versus Kent State) a quarterback can go through, while taking the team on the roller coaster with him. Nova started the season on fire, throwing 15 touchdowns against only 3 interceptions during the team's 7-0 start, but he began to falter big time down the stretch, starting with that disaster game against Kent State. He seemed to rebound in the regular season finale against Louisville where he would have led the team to a Sugar Bowl berth if not for a couple huge dropped passes and blown calls, but he followed that up with another terrible performance in the bowl game against Virginia Tech.

Coming into 2013, there are two different perspectives you can take in evaluating Nova going forward. You can view him as a talented passer who took major strides forward between his freshman and sophomore campaigns, or you can view him as the guy who really regressed during the second half of last season. As a more optimistic fan and a big believer in Nova, I tend to view him as the former.

Playing as a true sophomore last season, Nova was still pretty young for a starting quarterback. In a lot of situations, quarterbacks don't take the reigns as a starter until their third year on campus, and in a perfect world, that would have been the case for Nova (with Tom Savage starting the last two years for Rutgers in this perfect world). Considering this, his performance was......I wouldn't say par for the course, but it was pretty normal. He displayed a lot of positive signs, especially early on, but he still made a lot of mistakes because of his youth, leading to an overall uneven performance on the year. Even through it wasn't always pretty, I think there has been a lot more good than bad. That, along with all of that experience (18 career starts) he has under his belt, is encouraging going into his junior season. This is when we should start seeing the growing pains pay off.

When you compare Nova's sophomore season to Mike Teel --the last quarterback to stabilize the position at Rutgers— Nova was a bit better. Nova had a much better touchdown to interception ratio, while the two Don Bosco alumni had similar completion percentages and yards per attempt as second year signal callers. Teel took his biggest strides between his sophomore and junior seasons, and I expect Nova to do the same. He appears to have worked extra hard this offseason to make sure that happens, as evidenced by his weight loss. Even though I don't think his weight was really a problem last year, it does at least give us some tangible evidence of the work he put in during the offseason.

Nova will be playing under his third offensive coordinator in as many years this season, and I don't think that's necessarily a bad thing. He and Dave Brock never really seemed to be in the same page last season, so hopefully Ron Prince will be able to get a better read on him. Second year QB coach Robb Spence could do a better job this year as well. He seemed to leave Nova unprepared for some games (it’s like they didn’t expect to see any zone blitzing against Kent State!) last season, and that needs to not happen anymore. Even with the coordinator change, Rutgers will still have the same philosophy offensively, with a run first, pro-style attack (the only difference may be terminology, but I don't know if that was changed or not).

Nova is a good fit for this style of play. His greatest attribute is his strong arm, and he can use that to push the ball down field to the big play receivers he will have at his disposal.  In the pocket, he has good awareness of his surroundings, and he generally gets rid of the ball quickly, sometimes to a fault. One area where he could improve is by throwing the ball away (or simply just taking a sack) rather than forcing it and turning the ball over when under pressure. He was able to fit passes through tight windows over the middle last season, and hopefully we will see more of that this season. His accuracy sometimes suffers from his poor mechanics on such passes, but when he just lets it fly, he can put it on the spot. If Rutgers is able to establish a strong run game, I think the play action could be another great weapon at Nova’s disposal. Nova was athletic enough to escape pressure or throw passes outside of the pocket before, and now that he dropped some weight, I expect that to improve.

Backing Nova up is senior Chas Dodd. Dodd has plenty of starting experience, and he's not someone you would have to worry too much about taking the field if Nova were to get hurt. Dodd has proved himself to be a very competent quarterback, but he is not an ideal fit in a pro-style offense, taking snaps under center and standing in the pocket. Remember, he was recruited to play in a spread offense, and he is at his best slinging short passes around out of the shot gun.

Waiting in the wings as Rutgers "quarterbacks of the future" are red shirt sophomore Mike Bimonte, red shirt freshman Blake Rankin and true freshman Chris Laviano. Bimonte has good size and a strong arm, but he was raw coming out of high school. Rankin is an interesting duel threat quarterback with explosive tools, and Laviano is a polished quarterback with a solid all-around game. These three will share practice squad duties before competing for the backup job next season and the starting job in 2015. I am a big Laviano fan, for what it's worth.

Gary Nova is going to need to take on a much bigger role if Rutgers wants to be successful this season. He was relegated to being a game manager last season, and I think it's time to finally set him loose. He has the tools needed to be a very good quarterback in a pro-style offense at the college level, and now that he has a lot of experience and hopefully receives better coaching, he is ready to take that next step and become a guy they can rely on to win games for them week in and week out. He must take on a bigger leadership role this year as well, especially since he was named a captain. Behind him, Chas Dodd is a very good back up, and Bimonte, Laviano and Rankin have talent and will compete for the starting job after Nova graduates.

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