Friday, December 28, 2012

Game 13: Virginia Tech

Bowl games often come down to who wants to be there and who doesn't. Rutgers could easily have no motivation in this game, since it is a consolation prize for them after blowing their chances of playing in a BCS game, but there is still plenty on the line today. A Rutgers win would give them their 10th win of the season, something they have only achieved twice before before in school history (1976 and 2006). A win would also extend the nation's longest bowl winning streak, send the seniors off the right way, and build positive momentum for the program heading into the 2013 season. With the way Rutgers has handled playing in less than premium bowl games after a dispointing end to the regular season in the past, I don't expect motivation to be a problem for them. If anything, Virginia Tech could be the unmotivated team, since they may just want their first disappointing season in while to end.

As Andy Staples points out, teams have used the Russell Athletic Bowl (formerly the Champs Sports Bowl, Tangerine Bowl, Blockbuster Bowl and Mazda Bowl) as a "launching pad" to greater things. Florida State and Notre Dame played in this bowl a year ago, and the Irish are now in the national championship game and the Seminoles are in the Orange Bowl. Two years ago, West Virginia played in this bowl and they parlayed that into an Orange Bowl win last year. Wisconsin played in this game in 2009, and they have won three consecutive Big 10 titles in the wake of that. Hopefully Rutgers will be the next school to join that group with a big 2013 season, and a win today would build momentum towards that.

Injuries
Rutgers is pretty healthy coming into this game. Brandon Jones will be able to go after missing the second half of the Louisville game with an injury and Jawan Jamison and Andre Civil are back to 100% after playing hurt at the end of the season. Kicker Nick Borgese had a minor back problem this week, but he will kick today over the now healthy Kyle Federico.

Prediction- Rutgers 16 Virginia Tech 13
I'm fairly confident that this will be a close game and I think Rutgers will be able to make a big play on special teams or force a big turnover to swing the game in their favor.

Keys For Rutgers in The Russell Athletic Bowl

Virginia Tech and Rutgers seem to be very similar teams at a glance. Both teams have very strong defenses to go along with erratic offenses, and they both rely heavily on turnovers in order to win games. Friday's Russell Athletic Bowl appears to be a close match up, at least on paper, since these two teams are so similar, but there is one big variable during bowl season: both coaching staffs have had a month to prepare for this game. With that much time on their hands, the two coaching staffs could add wrinkles to their offenses and defenses, or concoct ways to keep the other team's strengths in check. As someone who has watched Virginia Tech play on TV a handful of times this season, I think the keys to Rutgers keeping Tech's strengths in check lay in the hands of their offensive linemen and corner backs.
 .
Offense

Blitz Pick Up
Virginia Tech runs the vaunted 4-4 G defense, and with eight or nine defenders in the box most of the time, it is difficult to run against them. With that in mind, Rutgers very well might have to win this game on offense through the air. That will be no easy task though.

Virginia Tech defensive coordinator Bud Foster loves to send exotic zone blitzes after opposing quarterbacks, bringing guys from everywhere, including off the corner, while also dropping defensive lineman back in coverage. Those types of blitzes make it tricky for offenses to throw short passes over the middle, as we saw when Gary Nova threw 6 interceptions against Kent State. So in order to prevent the same thing from happening, Rutgers should attack the Hokies deep and on intermediate routes towards the sideline.That is easier said then done, however. In order to throw the ball down field, Nova will need time to stand in the pocket, and that will be difficult when the Hokies are bringing extra defenders at him.

Here is an example of one of Virginia Tech's zone blitzes:
The boundary corner is creeping in, showing blitz, so Nova should recognize where the pressure is coming from and adjust his protection scheme accordingly, probably by sliding everyone but the right tackle to the left. A running back would likely have to pick up the corner, and Kaleb Johnson would have to pick up the linebacker blitzing off the edge. Antwan Lowery would have to take the end slanting into to him, while Bujari takes on the nose with help from Civil or Alexander. RJ Dill would not slide to his left and would instead take on the guy over his head.

If they are able to pick up this blitz, Rutgers could exploit match ups on the outside that are in their favor. Wide side corner Antone Exum is at his best pressing at the line and being physical, but he is some what vulnerable when giving up a lot of cushion covering the deep third. Brandon Coleman can out run him. Towards the boundary, the receiver would be matched up with a safety deep or with a linebacker who has a lot of ground to cover getting to the flat. A quick out, a comeback or a curl could be open in that deep flat area.

Get Jamison In the Open Field Behind the Hogs
As stated above, it's difficult to run the ball against Tech's 8 and 9 man fronts, but it's not impossible. Teams with big offensive lines have over powered the Hokies' front, with their small, shifty backs making Tech defenders miss in the open field to break off big gains. Giovanni Bernard of North Carolina, Duke Johnson of Miami and Rushel Shell of Pittsburgh all exploited the Hokies, each rushing for over 100 yards against them behind their massive offensive lines.

Rutgers does not have a massive offensive line as a whole like the Hurricanes, Tar Heels and Panthers, but Dill and Lowery are very big, so running off the edge to the right or up the middle to the left seem to be the ideal places to run the ball. If they can over power their guy at the point of attack and everyone else can get a hat on a hat, Jamison could use his shiftiness (assuming he is fully healthy) to juke or spin a defender out in the open field in order to break off a big run. 

Defense

Stop Logan Thomas on the Inverted Veer
Logan Thomas is the Hokies leading rusher and he is the only inside running threat they have. Their bread and butter run play is the inverted veer, which is basically a power play read option, where Thomas will read the defensive end and either keep it himself up the gut behind a pulling guard or hand it off to his back, who will run sideways and look for the edge that is set by the H-back. It looks like this: 
With the way Khaseem Greene and Jamal Merrell play in space and the way corners Logan Ryan and Brandon Jones can tackle, the outside run should not be a problem. I'm more concerned with Thomas running up the middle.  I think the end, who is left unblocked, should crash down on Thomas and force him to hand it off. If the end sits still or goes to the outside though, the most important defender will be the defensive tackle to the play side. Hopefully that defender will be Scott Vallone, as he is adept at taking on the double team that would come towards him as part of the power play blocking, but if it is Jamil Merrell or Darius Hamilton in that spot, they must hold the double team at the line or fight though it. If they can do that, it will allow Steve Beauharnais to fill the hole and make a play. Thomas is a load to bring down and he is bigger than Rutgers' linebackers, so the safeties must fly down in run support to get multiple defenders on him.

The Hokies' line is not very good, so hopefully they can be over matched by Vallone and co. on these plays, but they did do a good job with the down blocks required on this play against Miami and Florida State.

Don't get beat deep
Thomas has struggled with his decision making and accuracy all year, but he has no problems at all when it comes to his arm strength and throwing the ball down field. Nobody in the nation throws a better deep ball than Thomas, and with speedsters Marcus Davis and Corey Fuller at receiver, he can really burn you over the top. If Rutgers is able to take away the deep ball, Tech will be forced to settle for short passes, which hasn't always worked out well for them.

In order to not get beat deep, getting pressure on the quarterback would be the obvious solution, but Rutgers hasn't gotten a ton of pressure from their front four this year. In order to stop these deep balls, Logan Ryan, Brandon Jones and Marcus Cooper must be physical at the line while pressing Davis and Fuller. Neither of those two are particularly physical players, so getting in their grill and knocking them off their routes could frustrate the hell out of them, and cause them to be off their game. Using Mason Robinson and Wayne Warren more at safety would allow the corners to have more help deep if they are unable to re-route the receivers.

Force Turnovers
This seems like an obvious one, but it's importance can not be stated enough. Rutgers is undefeated this year when they win the turnover battle, and with an offense that could struggle yet again, they will need to set them up in good field position or score for themselves. Thomas makes some poor decision passing the ball, and the defenders must take advantage of it when they get their hands on the ball.


Special Teams

Prove it
Virginia Tech has been known as the the preeminent special teams program for a while, but their success has fallen off in recent years, and Rutgers could be on the verge making their claim as the best special teams program in the nation. Against Miami, the Hokies allowed a punt to be blocked and they gave up a long kick return, so this unit has been vulnerable for them. Rutgers leads the nation in blocked kicks since 2009, and they have turned many games around with big plays on special teams. If they can out Beamer Ball a Beamer team, they could prove that they have over taken the Hokies' special teams mantle and maybe turn this game around too.

The offensive line and cornerbacks are going to be the deciding factors for Rutgers in this game. If the line can pick up the blitzes and over power Virginia Tech's front, Jamison could have a big day and Nova could hit on some pass plays over the top. If the corners take away the deep ball and hold strong in run support, the Hokies could have problems moving the ball. If these two groups don't have outstanding games, it will come down to turnovers and special teams. This should be a close game and these keys could be the deciding factor whether Rutgers wins or not.

Thursday, December 27, 2012

Know Your Opponent: Virginia Tech

Virginia Tech was, of course, an original football playing member of the Big East, and during their time in the conference, they grew into one of the most consistently great programs in the nation. During their time in the Big East, the Hokies finished ranked in eight of their 13 seasons in the league, won or shared three conference titles, and played Florida State in the Sugar Bowl for the National Championship after the 1999 season. They were a big part of building the Big East into one of the top football conferences in the nation, and they have continued their levels of success in the ACC, which they joined along with Miami and Boston College after the 2003 season. The Hokies have appeared in 5 BCS games over their nine year ACC tenure, but this season they fell well short of the lofty standards they have set for themselves. They only went 6-6 after having to replace most of their offense from a year ago. Although they had this down season, they are still a very well respected program nationally, and are making a bowl game for the 20th consecutive season. A win over Tech would really help Rutgers' program nationally, as they continue to look for more respect.

The Hokies So Far- Virginia Tech started the season 2-0 after an over time victory over Georgia Tech on Labor Day and a win over FCS school Austin Peay. They followed that up by losing 3 of their next 4 to Pittsburgh (in blow out fashion), Cincinnati (on a late pass from Munchie Leagux) and North Carolina, with a win over Bowling Green thrown in there. They were able to beat Duke soundly at home, but they were then beaten by Clemson before dropping consecutive Thursday night games to Miami and Florida State. The Hokies were able to defeat Boston College and Virginia in their last two games in order to attain Bowl eligibility.

Coaching- Frank Beamer is in his 26th season as the head coach at his alma mater Virginia Tech, and he is the longest tenured coach at the FBS level right now. Beamer owns a 215-104-2 record as the head Hokie, and he has won 7 conference titles (3 Big East, 4 ACC) in those 26 seasons. Beamer's teams have attained all this success by playing "Beamer Ball," which entails being a tough, physical, run first offense, playing great defense and making big plays on special teams. Beamer holds special teams in a higher regard than most coaches, and the Hokies were once the preeminent program in the country when it came to special teams, but their success has fallen off in recent years. The Hokies have also had to go to more of a spread attack to run the ball in order to accommodate the talent on the team, but Beamer still wants them to be a run first offense. Tech's defenses have remained as tough as ever though. Beamer's teams are always flled with very tough players, and they all buy into the program's blue collar mentality, and they have a lunch pail to prove it.

Bud Foster, who has been with Beamer since 1979 when Beamer was the defensive coordinator and Foster was one of his linebackers at Murry State, leads the defense. Along with Beamer, Foster has built very tough defenses over the years, using their pressure heavy 4-4 G scheme, which has adapted to offenses changing over the years. Brian Stienspring and Mike O'Cain are basically the co-offensive coordinators, and they both appear to be on the way out after the bowl game, following years of criticism from the fans and media for being overly conservative in their play calling.

Offense- 80th in PPG, 81st in yards per rush, 94th in passing efficiency, 82nd in yards per play
The Hokies' offense has struggled mightily this year, after they had to replace almost their entire unit from a year ago. Logan Thomas, came into this season with very high expectations on the heels of a strong 2011 campaign, but he has taken steps back with a worse group around him. He struggles big time with his accuracy and decision making, but he has a dangerous skill set as a massive (6'6'' 260) duel threat, and he is just as capable of making an amazing play as he is a poor one. He has a rocket for an arm and shows nice touch on his deep passes. Thomas is also the leading rusher for the Hokies, using his power between the tackles more than his speed in space.

 The offensive line in front of him does a solid job pass protecting, even against blitzes, but they leave a lot to be desired in the run blocking department. They deliver some nice down blocks on power plays, but they are usually stalemated when blocking a guy man to man, and they give up too much penetration on zone plays. They are waist benders with poor technique. The group featured four new starters at the beginning of the year, and they have gotten a bit better as the season progressed, but they have been very poor overall. Their best player up front is guard Michael Via, who was honorable mention all ACC selection.

The Hokies have three tailbacks with at least 60 carries, and they have had trouble finding a lead back to replace David Wilson. JC  Coleman, a speedy freshman who runs outside in space, leads the trio in carries, while Tony Gregory and Michael Holmes are the power backs who run inside.  Marcus Davis is the team's leading receiver, and he is a lot like Rutgers' receivers in the fact that he is very big and fast, but has problems with drops and is not as productive as he "should" be. Unlike RU's WRs however, his effort as blocker is.....not very good, to put it lightly. Corey Fuller is the team's second leading receiver and he is a former tack star.

Virginia Tech's offensive schemes is similar to Louisville's, as they run a lot of plays out of the pistol, spread you out to pass, and run some I-formation. Instead of running a lot of bootlegs like the Cardinals, the Hokies will sprint Thomas out quite often, and he uses his arm strength to take shots down field. Tech seems to run a lot of crossing routes on third downs as well. The Hokies will run inside zone plays to run down hill out of the pistol, attack the perimeter out of spread sets, and man block out of the I. Their go to run play is the inverted veer option, where Thomas will either take it himself up the gut or hand it off to Coleman, who will stretch the play top the outside.

Defense- 39th in PPG, 37th in yards per rush, 24th in passing efficiency, 25th in yards per play
Virginia Tech has two very good corners in Antone Exum and Kyle Fuller. Fuller is the boundary corner who plays very loose in coverage and is a fast player who can keep up with receivers down the field. Exum is a converted safety, and he is a big, physical player who will press receivers that the line. Exum also has very good ball skills, leading the ACC in passes defended this season. Both of their safeties are very good against the run, and do a solid job covering tight ends and slot receivers. The Hokies have a very good secondary overall, but they have given up some big plays through the air.

Virginia Tech has a strong front 7 that features linebackers who are all smart, instinctive players. Junior Jack Tyler is their best player on defense, leading the team in tackles with 112 and Senior Bruce Taylor is an explosive blitzer who makes a lot of plays in the backfield. Defensive end James Gayle is a very good pass rusher and  Derrick Hopkins is a big run stuffer at defensive tackle.

Virginia Tech runs a pretty unique defensive scheme, the 4-4 G. In this defense, they utilize an under front and usually walk a rover down into the box as an eight run defender. This defense is difficult to run against, but they have had trouble stopping smaller, shifty backs (similar to Jawan Jamison) this season. Against the pass, Foster loves to dial up zone blitzes to confuse the quarterback, dropping lineman back into coverage and sending corner off the edge every so often. The Hokies usually play cover 3 behind these blitzes, but the primary coverage they use is quarters, which allows both safeties to play close to the line of scrimmage.

Conclusion
Virginia Tech had a down year this year as they had to replace most of their offense from a year ago, but they still have a very strong defense and a quarterback in Logan Thomas who is capable of greatness. They have gotten away from what has made them one of the most consistently strong programs in the nation a bit, as they don't run down hill as much and have not maintained their extraordinary special teams play, but they still have a tough, blue collar mentality that Frank Beamer's teams always do. Virginia Tech is a well respected program, and Rutgers could gain more respect for themselves if they are able to defeat their former conference mates.

Sunday, December 23, 2012

Link: Kyle Flood's Keys to Zone Blocking

Earlier this season, I wrote about the bread an butter play of Rutgers' offense, the outside zone play. I broke down a long, touchdown scoring run Jawan Jamison had on the play, in the victory over South Florida, explaining the blocking techniques used by the offensive lineman, tight ends and fullback and the read Jamison had to make running the ball. I used general zone blocking ideology to describe what went on, and today Chris Brown wrote about the specific ways Kyle Flood teaches the play to his lineman and running backs. Brown had seen Flood lecture on the play at a coaching clinic, and he passed along Flood's 3 keys to the play:

"Rutgers runs it the same way most NFL teams do, which is essentially the same way the old school Nebraska teams used to run it under Tom Osborne (the diagram above is from Milt Tenopir, Nebraska’ legendary offensive line coach). There are three keys to Flood’s outside zone:
  1. The runningback’s read;
  2. The technique of the “uncovered lineman”; and
  3. Where the fullback “inserts” into the defense."

For the "running back read," Flood teaches his backs to only make one read, on the outside man on the line of scrimmage, rather than two (on the end man on the line and the second to last man on the line) like most offenses teach. It simplifies things for the back and gets the play going downhill, on what is an east-west play for a lot of teams.

The uncovered linemen are taught to, first and foremost, secure a double team on the defensive lineman immediately down the line from them towards they play side where they are stepping. Once that block is secured, one of the two blockers will go to the next level and block a linebacker, and which backer they block depends on the fullback insert.

The fullback (or H-back, which Rutgers has primarily used since Mike Burton got hurt) will normally lead off the edge and block the strong safety. In this case, the offensive lineman will have to take care of all three backers. Other times, the fullback will lead on the strong side backer with the tight end taking the force, and the lineman would then be responsible for the middle and weak-side backers. The fullback will also sometimes head towards the backside of the play and cut off the weak-side linebacker, in which case the lineman will block the middle and strong-side backers.

It is very important for everyone to know who they are blocking and for them to all be on the same page, so Gary Nova will normally call out the number of the player the fullback or center is going to block. This is what you hear when TV field mics pick up the QB saying "55 is the MIKE" or whatever.

Brown's article is very informative and a great read (everything he writes is), so check the whole thing out.

Tuesday, December 18, 2012

Big 10 Divisions

With Rutgers and Maryland set to join the Big 10 in 2014, the conference is reconsidering their divisional alignment and looking for fan feedback on the topic. Most Big 10 fans hate the current set up, especially the names of the division ("Legends" and "Leaders"), so the conference is looking to rectify those mistakes the second time around post expansion. The league has given fans three options to rank in order of preference: the current format with Rutgers and Maryland each added to a different division in the current set up, an East- West alignment, or what they are calling the inner-outer option. Each choice has its pluses and minuses, but I think there is one option that is head and shoulders above the others when it comes to geography, competitiveness and preserving rivalries.

  

This is the divisional alignment as it stands right now, with Rutgers and Maryland each being thrown into a different division. The divisions are pretty balanced competitively, but it is a mess geographically and a number of the conference's rivalries are devalued or neglected. The Ohio State/Michigan rivalry is maybe the most storied rivalry in college football, and they are in separate divisions. Although their yearly game is protected as "cross over rivals", the regular season game could be rendered meaningless if they meet the following week in the Big 10 Championship game. That would not be a good scenario for anybody; they belong in the same division.

The team that gets screwed the most in the rivalry department right now is Wisconsin. Their traditional rivals, Minnesota and Iowa, are both in the other division, as is Michigan State, with whom they have a budding rivalry with after a recent run of exciting and competitive games.

For Rutgers or Maryland, there wouldn't be any close road trips for the team that ends up in the "Legends" division (the one with Michigan), and it would make the most sense to keep those two and Penn State in the same division.
In an East-West format, geography is not a problem and the traditional rivalries are kept intact, but the divisions are not very balanced. In the original division lay out a couple years ago, the Big 10 split the 4 traditional powers (Ohio State, Penn State, Michigan, Nebraska) and the two emerging powers (Wisconsin and Michigan State) up evenly, and it has resulted in balanced and competitive divisions. With this proposed set up, three of the traditional powers and one of the emerging powers would be in the eastern division, making it seemingly a whole lot stronger than the west. Even when you consider Penn State is likely to take a few steps back as they deal with their NCAA sanctions, it still seems like the much, much stronger division.
Option 3 is the format I prefer. This divisional alignment is competitively balanced, preserves traditional rivalries, and the geography of it isn't as bad as you would think. The four traditional powers and the two emerging powers are split up evenly, and none of the traditional rivalries are lost. The Buckeyes and Wolverines would preserve their rivalry with in the same division, and Michigan's other main rival, Michigan State, is also aligned with them. Wisconsin would now be joined by their two main rivals, Minnesota and Iowa, and the intra-state rivals (Purdue/Indiana, Illinois/Northwester) would be tied together.

Geographically, all the "inner" schools are fairly close to one another, but the "outer" division seems messy. The three eastern schools are lumped together, which is ideal, but they would also be in the same division as teams more than half way across the country. That's not a big deal for travel though, as Maryland and Penn State are the only schools within driving distance from Rutgers, and a flight to Lincoln, Nebraska is only about an hour longer than a flight to Detroit is.

Whatever option is chosen, the Leaders and Legends names will have to go. For the new division names, there have been a lot of suggestions, including the Plains/Lakes, Black/Blue, and Woody/Bo divisions. Obviously if option two is picked, it will probably just be East/West, but I have my own suggestion for options 1 and 3. My somewhat serious idea is calling one division (division A) the "Corn Division"and the other (division B) the "Wheat" division. Nebraska and Iowa are obviously known for their corn production, and corn is grown in New Jersey as well (people across the country seem to forget that we are the Garden State) and wheat is one of the top crops grown in the mid-west.

From Rutgers' perspective, I think the most important thing will be for them to be in the same division as Penn State and Maryland, in order to have some close road trips and hopefully start regional rivalries. That throws option 1 out the window. The East-West set up is too unbalanced competitively and Rutgers could get buried in it, so that leave option 3 as the preferred choice for the Knights. The divisions are balanced and they get to be in the same division as the other two north eastern teams.

Saturday, December 15, 2012

Recruiting Updates

Rutgers has assembled a pretty good 2013 recruiting class up to this point in Kyle Flood and his staff's first full recruiting cycle, with just about two months to go before signing day. Rivals has the class rated 29th nationally, and ESPN has them 34th. New Jersey is very deep in in-state talent this year, but Rutgers has missed out on most of the top tier guys, and their ranking is based more on quantity than quality. There are still some top players on the board though, and some players who may be on the verge of decommitting, so there's still a lot of room for improvement.

As far as uncommitted players go, Al-Quadin Muhammad is the consensus top remaining player in the state of New Jersey. The defensive end from Don Bosco was Rivals' number 6 rated player in New Jersey coming into the season, and he had a very good year in 2012 for the some what disappointing Iron Men. It has been rumored for a while that he has secretly given a verbal commitment to Notre Dame, but he is waiting to officially announce it at the Army All American Game on January 5th. It's not a stretch to believe that he has in fact given his commitment to the Irish considering they went undefeated this season and one of his best friends Elijah Shumate is already in South Bend, but I wouldn't totally rule Rutgers out on him yet. The coach recruiting him for Notre Dame, defensive coordinator Bob Diaco, is a candidate for some head coaching vacancies, and of course he has quite a few of his high school teammates playing for the Scarlet Knights who could sway him to stay close to home.

Another instate defensive end may be on the verge of decommitting. Immaculata's Tashawn Bower has been wavering on his commitment to Auburn for a while, and he is now looking to take official visits at other schools in wake of Gene Chizik's dismissal from the school. Gus Malzahn, who is the new head coach on the Plains, has already visited him in person, but Bower has scheduled official visits to Rutgers, LSU and Florida. Bower was rated as the 8th best player in New Jersey before the season, but he is know arguably the top prospect in the state after a strong senior year. He has made numerous unofficial visits to Rutgers this season, and many recruiting analysts view the Scarlet Knights as the heavy favorite for his services.

2012 safety DJ Singleton is back on the market after singing his letter of intent with Wisconsin last year. He failed to qualify because his SAT scores were a few points too low, and he is looking around for potential new suitors after Bret Bielema left the Badgers for Arkansas. Rutgers figures to be in the mix for the three star prospect after they offered him a scholarship a year ago, and Savon Huggins, his teammate at St. Peter's Prep, has reached out to him on Rutgers' behalf. The Scarlet Knights already have a number of safety types committed in this recruiting class, so it will be interesting to see how hard they go after Singleton. Wisconsin and other major programs figure to go after him as well.

Elsewhere, Asiantii Woulard, one of the top duel threat quarterbacks in the nation, has reopened his recruitment after South Florida fired Skip Holtz. According to ESPN, the Winter Haven, Florida product is considering Rutgers, Maryland, Syracuse, Tennessee and Ole Miss, with the Volunteers appearing to be the favorite. None of the recruiting sites have him listed as having an offer from Rutgers though, and in fact Rutgers is not even listed as having interest in him. Teams very rarely take more than one quarterback in a recruiting class, and with Chris Laviano already in the fold, I doubt Rutgers goes hard after him.

Rutgers already has 22 commitments for 2013 so far, so they don't have a ton of room to add more recruits (the limit is technically 25, but it is very easy to get around that rule). Hopefully they will get a few upper echelon guys to commit so they can have a top 25 class for the second year in a row. I think it is vital for them to either get Bower or Muhammad, and that was very apparent to me during the Louisville game when their lack of an impact pass rusher was painfully obvious. Regardless of what they do, their class appears to be in good shape.

Friday, December 7, 2012

Rutgers Will Take on Virginia Tech in the Russell Athletic Bowl

 Rutgers has accepted an invitation to the Russell Athletic Bowl in Orlando, Florida, where they will take on the Virginia Tech Hokies on December 28. It's not the BCS game the team and the fans were looking for, but it's a nice consolation prize, and this is probably the best bowl game Rutgers has ever been selected to. The Scarlet Knights are of course some what familiar with the Virginia Tech, as the Hokies were their conference mates in the Big East from 1991-2004, but the teams will face off for the first time since Tech jumped ship to the ACC. The Hokies had a disappointing 6-6 season, but this is still an exciting match up for Rutgers, as they take on a very well respected program who plays a similar style of football as them.

Rutgers is only 3-11 all time against Virginia Tech, but obviously a lot has changed since they last met in 2004. The Scarlet Knights are no longer a doormat, and the Hokies will have a much tougher time winning this one than they have in previous match ups. The most memorable game these two played was the 1992 contest on Halloween, in which the Scarlet Knights rallied from behind to pull off a last second 50-49 victory on home coming. That Rutgers team featured freshman Marco Battaglia and Ray Lucas playing in a limited role, and current athletic director Tim Pernetti. It was Rutgers only win over Virginia Tech while they were both Big East teams. There's a video on Youtube with some of the highlights of the game, if you're interested.

The Hokies have been a disappointment this year, finishing only 6-6, but Frank Beamer has his squad in a bowl game for the 20th consecutive season. They are a very similar team to Rutgers, as they have a very strong defense that is especially tough against the run, but an offense that has struggled mightily at times. Logan Thomas was supposed to improve off his very good 2011 and play himself into a first round pick, but the QB took some steps back this season, committing too many mistakes. Their running game was sub par, as they had a bunch of inexperienced players on the offensive line, and were  unable to replace David Wilson in the backfield. Jack Tyler is the leader of their defense at linebacker, and James Gayle is a dangerous pass rusher of the edge. Corner back Kyle Fuller is also a stand out player. The Hokies are known for their special teams, but that unit has not been very strong this year.

I know a lot of Rutgers fans are disappointed and down on this game, but this is another opportunity for the team to play on a national stage against a well respected program and they need our support. The team needs to send the seniors off the right way and build towards next year. Virginia Tech is a similar team to Rutgers, and they are probably the most intriguing opponent the team has played in a bowl game since maybe Kansas State in 2006. Going to Orlando is a nice reward for the team for their strong season, and hopefully they are able to extend the nation's longest bowl winning streak.

2012 All Big East Team


The Big East announced their individual post season awards and the all conference team for the 2012 season today, and Rutgers was very well represented. They had a league high 8 players who were first or second team all conference and won two of the individual awards. Khaseem Greene repeated as the conference's defensive player of the year, and Kyle Flood shared the coach of the year honors with Louisville's Charlie Strong. The coaches actually did a nice job voting on this, there weren't a ton of omissions, which is a nice change up from the voting the past few years. You can see the full results here.

I had planned on posting my own Big East awards and all conference team before the official one came out of Providence, but obviously that didn't happen. Here it is though, better late then never.

 (Warning: some Rutgers homer picks ahead)

Offensive Player of the Year: Teddy Bridgewater QB Louisville
Bridgewater was by far the best player in the conference this year, and he was one of the top quarterbacks in the entire nation this year. He turned in a great performance while injured and on the road to win the conference against Rutgers, and was consistently brilliant through out the year, putting up some great numbers. He was 7th nationally in passing efficiency (161.6), 8th in yards per attempt (8.9), 6th in completion percentage (69%) and 21st in TD passes, and leading the Big East in all of those categories.

Defensive Player of the Year: Khaseem Greene LB Rutgers
Greene was the most dominant player on the defensive side of the ball in the conference this year, leading the number four scoring defense in the country. Greene led the league in total tackles (125) and forced fumbles (6), while also finishing 4th in sacks (5.5), 8th in tackles for loss (10.5) and interceptions (2), in addition to 7 passes defended. His biggest performance was in a win over Syracuse,when he recorded 14 tackles, 3 forced fumbles, an interception and 1.5 sacks.

Coach of the Year: Kyle Flood Rutgers
Flood took over the Rutgers program after Greg Schiano departed for the NFL, and the first year coach kept a steady hand at the wheel, leading the team to a 9-3 record and winning a share of the conference title.

Offensive Freshman of the Year: Rushel Shell RB Pittsburgh
Shell rushed for 562 yards backing up Ray Graham.

Defensive Freshman of the Year: Nate Smith LB Temple
Smith, the brother of former Scarlet Knight LJ Smith, recorded 75 tackles for the Owls.

First Team
QB- Teddy Bridgewater Louisville
RB- Montel Harris Temple
RB- George Winn Cincinnati
WR- Alec Lemon Syracuse
WR- Marcus Sales Syracuse
TE- Travis Kelce Cincinnati
OT- Eric Lefeld Cincinnati
OT- Kaleb Johnson Rutgers
OG- Antwan Lowery Rutgers
OG- Austin Bujnoch Cincinnati
C- Mario Benavides Louisville

DE- Trevardo Williams Connecticut
DE- Brandon Sharpe Syracuse
DT- Scott Vallone Rutgers
DT- Aaron Donald Pittsburgh
LB- Khaseem Greene Rutgers
LB- Yarwin Smallwood Connecticut
LB- Steve Beauharnais Rutgers
CB- Logan Ryan Rutgers
CB- Dwayne Gratz Connecticut
S- Calvin Pryor Louisville
S- Shamarko Thomas Syracuse

K/P Brandon McManus Temple
KR- Matt Brown Temple

Second Team
QB- Tino Sunseri Pittsburgh
RB- Jawan Jamison Rutgers
RB- Ray Graham Pittsburgh
WR- Devante Parker Louisville
WR- Brandon Coleman WR Rutgers
TE- Ryan Griffin Connecticut
OT- Justin Pugh Syracuse
OT- RJ Dill Rutgers/Alex Cooper Louisville
OL- Martin Wallace Temple
OG- Mark Popek South Florida
C- Betim Bujari Rutgers

DE- Walter Stewart Cincinnati
DE- Dan Giordano Cincinnati
DT- Cory Grissom South Florida
DT- Ryan Wirth Connecticut
LB- Sio Moore Connecticut
LB- Jamal Merrell Rutgers
LB-Greg Blair Cincinnati
CB- Adrian Bushell Louisville
CB- Brandon Jones Rutgers/ Blidi Wreh-Wilson Connecticut
S- Duron Harmon Rutgers
S-Hakeem Smith Louisville

K- Maiokan Bonani South Florida
P- Matt Yolik Pitt
KR- Ralph David Abernathy IV

Thursday, December 6, 2012

20-17 Heart Break

Rutgers had the opportunity on Thursday night to take the next step as a program and gain national relevance, but as they have so many times in the past, they were unable to take it over the top, as they lost an absolute heart breaker to Louisville 20-17. The game, an outright conference championship, and an elusive BCS bid were right in their grasps, but they let everything slip away with constant mistakes and blown opportunities. The referees made some....let's say questionable calls too, but I really don't like using officiating as an excuse. The stars seemed to be aligning for Rutgers to finally break through and win this game, but there appears to be some kind of hex over the program that leaves them constantly snake bitten and looking for answers as to why this always happens.

Despite the loss, Rutgers probably played their best half of football in the first half of this game. Usually Rutgers comes out flat in the first half or feels out the opponent before making adjustments, but they came out firing early, and it payed off big time. Teddy Bridgewater sat out the first quarter for Louisville, and Will Stein and the Cardinals running game were not able to accomplish much against a stingy Rutgers defense. Stein was able to get Louisville into Rutgers territory on some bootleg runs on the opening series, but Steve Beauharnais brought running back Jeremy Wright down in the backfield for a loss and Brandon Jones made a big tackle on third down to force a punt. Gary Nova then led the offense out onto the field for the first time with the ball on his own 15 yard line. With the way Rutgers has been calling plays this year, it seemed like an obvious running situation, but I had a feeling they would take a shot down field off play action on the first play. And that's exactly what they did. Nova faked the hand off and hit Brandon Coleman on a post route between two defenders, and with the safety over playing the ball in the air, Coleman kicked it into gear and took the reception all the way for an 85 yard score to give Rutgers a 7-0 lead. The crowd was going wild and it seemed like Rutgers had all the momentum on their side.

When the defense went back onto the field, Marcus Cooper forced Louisville receiver Eli Rodgers to fumble a quick screen pass, and the Scarlet Knights were able to recover it. They reviewed the play and overturned the ruling on the filed, making it an incomplete pass instead of a fumble. From the replay they showed on the board in the stadium, it looked very close to me. I could not tell whether he had full possession of the ball or not, but he did take a few steps. I didn't see any conclusive evidence one way or the other, and thought the ruling on the filed should have stood. The Big East officials didn't agree though. Questionable call number one. The Knights were able to get a big stop though, setting the offense up in good field position though, as Scott Vallone stuffed a 4th and 1 QB sneak at midfield. Handed good field position, the offense was unable to take advantage, as another drive was set back by a penalty. Nova did complete two passes to set up a 4th and 1, but Jawan Jamison was wrapped up in the backfield for a loss on the play. After the turn over on downs, Khaseem Greene and Jamil Merrell both made plays in the backfield to force another punt. Nova then completed a pass to Coleman for a 15 yard gain, but they were unable to move the sticks again, and ended up punting as the time expired in the quarter.

Bridgewater came onto the field to open the second quarter, but Corvin Lamb was the impact player on Teddy's first drive. Lamb broke of runs of 16, 13 and 11 yard to set up a Cards field goal that made it 7-3. When the Knights' offense came back onto the field they responded with another uncharacteristically quick strike. Louisville was playing a soft coverage, and Nova hit Mark Harrison on a quick curl. Harrison muscled his way through a tackle and ran right past an over pursuing defender and the safety for a 68 yard touchdown that made it 14-3. Dave Brock finally came out with an aggressive plan and it was working. Nova looked composed, his receivers were making plays, and they were scoring points. It was nice to see. At this point in the game, Rutgers' defense really started to shut down the run. Beauharnais and Ka'Lial Glaud both recorded tackles for loss early in the series, but Bridgewater was able to make big plays with his arm when he was dropping back and ripping it. Jamil Merrell was able to sack him after Louisville entered Rutgers territory again, to finally put a stop to the drive. Rutgers went 3 and out on offense, and Louisville returned the favor, with Glaud and Beauharnais both making big stuffs against the run on 2nd and 1 and 3rd and 1. With 1:28 remaining in the half, the Knights just ran the clock out, despite picking up a first down and having a hot passing attack. They went into the locker room with a 14-3 lead.

Rutgers went three and out again on the opening possession of the second half, and once again had to punt. Bridgewater completed a couple passes to open the drive, and a bull shit personal foul penalty called on Greene set the Cardinals up in RU territory again. Greene made a tackle after the Louisville receiver narrowly stepped out of bounds and kept running. It didn't end up hurting the Knights though, as Scott Vallone recorded a sack for a big loss and Louisville missed the field goal try. When the Knights got ht ball back, a 7 yard run by Jamison and a 36 yard reception by Harrison set up a 43 yard field goal attempt. Kyle Flood called for a fake, and holder JT Tarcoff completed a pass down field to DC Jefferson for an apparent touchdown, but it was called back by yet another questionable call. The Big East officials ruled that Devin Watkis was down field as an ineligible receiver, and that infraction voided the touchdown. I was at the game and had no idea what was called until after the game, and when I finally saw the replay,  still thought it was ridiculous. Watkis was three yards down field when Tarcoff released the ball, which is perfectly fine by the rule book definition; I do not think a penalty should have been called. It was all the way on the other side of the field, and it had no bearing on the play either. Visual evidence:
Instead of being up 21-3, the Knights were in no man's land after the voided touchdown. Nick Borgese has done a solid job kicking in Kyle Federico's absence, but a 48 yard field goal attempt is well out of his range and a 4th and 14 would be difficult to convert. Kyle Flood eventually decided to punt and I was ok with this decision, but I think the best choice would have been to go for it, take a shot down filed, and hope for a completion or a penalty. The punt only netted them 20 yards of field position, and that's where it all went terrible wrong.

Bridgewater tore Rutgers' defense apart on this next series, completing pass after pass, including a 3rd and 12, to march his team right down the field. On another 3rd and 12 from the 14, Bridgewater was able to escape pressure from Merrell on his sprained ankle, and he shoveled the ball to Jeremy Wright, who dove into the end zone for a score to make it 14-10. I try to stay positive, but this gave me a sinking feel. Things got worse when Jeremy Deering fumbled the ensuing kick off, after a Louisville player put his helmet right on the ball to force it out. A Scarlet Knight dove on top of it right away, but it slipped away from him and Louisville recovered. On the first play after the sudden change, Bridgewater threw a perfect pass on a go route to DeVier Posey in the back of the end zone, over Logan Ryan who provided tight coverage on the play. It looked like a safety was supposed to help him over the top, but he could not get there in time. The score was 17-14 in favor of Louisville heading into the final quarter.

As well as Bridgewater was playing, Gary Nova was able to answer him right back. On the next series, Nova completed passes to Harrison and Quoron Pratt to get the ball to mid field. On a first down, he took another shot down field on play action, and threw a perfect pass to an open Tim Wright, but the sure handed senior left the pass fall right through his hands. If he caught it, it would have likely been a touchdown, but at the very least, a completion would have gotten Rutgers to the Louisville 20. The drive instead resulted in another punt. Lorenzo Waters then got Rutgers the ball right back, intercepting an errant Bridgewater pass over the middle, returning it 29 yards to the Louisville 42. Nova completed another pass to Harrison and Wright caught a third down pass to set up a Borgese field goal, which was successful from 38 yards out to tie the game at 17. The defense held Teddy in check again on the next series, and Kevin Snyder got the defense off the field with a big sack on third down. After a disastrous second half, it looked like Rutgers was set up to retake the lead.

Nova and co. got the ball back on their own 25 with 4:39 left. On a 3rd and 8, Nova hit Wright in the chest with a deep pass over the middle, but he was unable to hang on and he kicked the ball into a Louisville defender's arms for an interception. Louisville started yet another drive in Rutgers territory, but the Scarlet Knight defense was able to hold them to a field goal this time. The offense would get another chance to win or tie the game with just under two minutes left. Nova completed a pass to Jamison to pick up a first down to get RU to mid field again. Nova took another shot down field, but he was not on the same page as Brandon Coleman, and Louisville intercepted the pass uncontested, to basically end the game.

Overall, the offense was very inconsistent on the night. They hit on a few big plays (and should have hit on a few more), but they had no success running the ball and were thus unable to sustain a lengthy drive. Jamison was never able to get going, and I'm unsure why Savon Higgins didn't even get one carry. Gary Nova played a very good, throwing accurate deep balls and averaging more yards per attempt than Bridgewater. His receivers really let him down, if they were able to catch some of the passes they should have, Nova would have been the hero of this game. Mark Harrison was the only reliable receiver on the night, and he recorded his second 100 performance in the last three games. Coleman had the TD and the mishap on the last play, and I feel terrible for Tim Wright. He's battled back through injuries to be a captain and a reliable receiver for this team, and then he had his season marred by one really bad day. I hope he's able to rebound and have a huge bowl game. The offensive line played very well, giving Nova plenty of time to throw and getting a push in the run game.

The defense played a great game. They held a very good offense to only 20 points, in-spite of a very lopsided time of possession margin and two Louisville drives that began in Rutgers' territory. Louisville was able to get absolutely nothing going on the ground, with Vallone and Merrell penetrating the backfield on almost every play. The Knights did not have a strong pass rush from the front 4 though, despite recording 3 sacks, and the defensive backs seemed to miss numerous opportunities to put their hands up to knock a pass down. The secondary really seemed to miss Brandon Jones, who missed the entire second half with an injury he suffered early on, but they did record and interception and they did force the fumble that was overturned. With the Cardinals passing the ball and the defensive line totally shutting down the run, the linebackers had a pretty quiet game. They covered well, but had limited opportunities to make plays.

Teddy Bridgewater is about as good of a quarterback as you will see, and he turned in one of the toughest performances I have ever seen playing with a sprained ankle and broken wrist. He played a very good game and carried the team on his back, but I wouldn't say he totally dominated the game. Regardless, I have a ton of respect for the guy after that effort he turned in.

This game was just another heart breaker for the Scarlet Knights, who have still not gotten over that hump to take the next step as a football program. The coaching staff came into the game with a good game plan and the team played very well on both sides of the ball, but mistakes absolutely killed them. They got off to a hot start, and the game completely turned around when the fake field goal was called back, and they were unable to overcome the eventual deficit. The crowd went through such a wide range of emotion in this game. The place was very loud and jumping for most of the game, but the air was totally let out of the stadium at the end, as everyone sat in stunned silence, unable to believe what had just happened. Eventually this program will have another break through and finally get over the top. But this was not that night, and the coaches, players and fans are left wondering why.

Thursday, November 29, 2012

Game 12: Louisville

Need to make this quick.

You know what's on the line tonight. It's the defacto Big East championship game. Winner goes to a BCS bowl.

Rutgers on Offense
They need to trust Gary Nova and stop being so conservative. Jawan Jamison should be fully healthy today, and he and Huggins should both get double digit carries against Louisville's poor run defense. It would be nice to come out throwing early to get a lead and then run latter, but who knows what mode Brock will be in tonight.

Rutgers on Defense
The Scarlet Knights need to get pressure on Bridgewater. He has a bum ankle, so force him out of the pocket, where he shouldn't be as effective. Louisville runs the ball up the gut well, so they need to hold double teams on the line and allow the linebackers to make plays.

It's also worth mentioning that Louisville doesn't exactly play great special teams so Rutgers should take advantage of that.

Prediction Louisville 13 Rutgers 17
The stars are aligned for a Rutgers win. No excuses, just do it!

Know Your Opponent: Louisville

Louisville visits Piscataway today, in what is the Scarlet Knights' biggest home game since the Thursday night thriller in November 2006 that saw Rutgers upend the #3 Cardinals 28-25 in dramatic, come back fashion. This 2012 Louisville team has a lot of similarities as the 2006 team. Teddy Bridgewater is the hot shot quarterback, just like Brian Brohm, Charlie Strong is their highly regarded head coach who will have some job offers come his way after the season, similar to Bobby Petrino, and the team is trying to overcome the loss of their starting running back, Senorise Perry, who went down with a season ending leg injury, similar to when the Cards lost Michael Bush. Where this team differs though, is in their youth. Their roster is full of juniors and sophomores, and that could be a problem for them this week. Not only do they have to deal with the typical road game things, they must deal with a number of outside distractions as well. The school just announced that it will join the ACC in two years yesterday, and they will also have to deal with the rumors that their head coach's name is being brought up for other jobs. Once they put the pads on and enter the field though, these distractions might go away. But hopefully they will continue to follow the 2006 team's path and lose a Thursday night game On the Banks.   

Louisville So Far
The Cardinals are coming off consecutive losses to Syracuse and Connecticut. Prior to that, they won their first nine games of the regular season, beating arch rival Kentucky, Missouri State, North Carolina, Florida International, Southern Miss, Pittsburgh, South Florida, Cincinnati, and Temple along the way to becoming the 9th ranked team in the country prior to those losses. 

Coaching
Louisville was the school that finally gave Charlie Strong a chance. After being passed over for numerous head coaching opportunities in the past, Strong had finally landed a coveted head job for the Cardinals. It was quite confusing as to why it took so long (some people think race played a factor), since he had such an impressive resume. Strong had coached under Lou Holtz at Notre Dame and South Carolina (where he invented the 3-3-5 defense), and he was also the defensive coordinator for two national championships teams at Florida under Urban Meyer. Since taking over at Louisville, he has made people regret not hiring him. Strong got the Cardinals' program back on track after some lean years, going 23-14 in his almost three full seasons, while also building strong recruiting ties for the school in Florida. He has also proved to be well organized and always well prepared, while still doing a good job coaching the defense. SEC schools may come after him when the year is over, but whether or not he will jump ship remains to be seen. I personally think he will stay at Louisville.

Offense 40th in PPG, 90th yards per carry, 16th in pass efficiency, 34th in yards per play
Teddy Bridgewater is the toal package at the quarterback position, and he has been by far the best offensive player in the Big East this year. He has nice size, a big time arm, impressive accuracy, and is athletic enough to be effective out of the pocket as both a passer and a runner. However, he comes into this game with a broken left wrist and sprained ankle, so it remains to be seen if his health will be an issue tonight. Upfront, Louisville is led by center Mario Benavides, who is very nimble and light on his feet and a very good all around blocker despite possessing average size. The rest of the offensive line is pretty much the polar opposite of him. They are very big and strong, but do not move very well at all. The Cardinals' o-line is capable of delivering punishing straight ahead blocks in the run game, but their lack of athleticism hampers them in pass protection, and Bridgewater has been his a lot this year, last week in particular. Top tail back Senorise Perry suffered a season ending injury earlier this month against Syracuse, and power back Jeremy Wright has taken over as the work horse since then. DeVante Parker is the big play threat at receiver, beating teams as a vertical threat, and three other receivers have at least 27 receptions.

The Cardinals run a mostly pro style offense with some spread concepts mixed in. They primarily try to run the ball right at you, down hill out of power formations and some pistol sets. Through the air, Louisville runs a ton of play action, getting Bridgewater out of the pocket on boot legs, and also taking numerous shots down field. At times, they have also spread some defenses out and beat them with the short passing game.They shift around a lot and send a lot of guys in motion, so you need to be prepared for that and know if or how moving guys affects your assignment. With Bridgewater's broken wrist, he will not be able to take snaps from under center, so they may run less play action as a result, and he could also have trouble handing the ball off on runs to the right.

Defense 44th in PPG, 75th in yards per carry, 48th in pass efficiency, 40th in yards per play
Louisville runs a 4-3 defense with a single high free safety, and they like to blitz. A lot. They play mostly zone coverages behind the blitzes, and will sometimes even drop guys from the line back into coverage. Their top defender is strong safety Hakeem Smith, who is a hard hitting safety that plays down in the box to stop the run and play underneath coverages. Their linebacking corp. is led by Preston Brown, who leads the team in tackles, and these guys bring a lot of pressure both up the middle and off the edge. They have a defensive line that is big up the middle and quick on the edges, and end Lorenzo Mauldin leads the team in sacks. Louisville is not very good at stopping the run, though. They are fooled by misdirection plays, and they get knocked off the ball too easily when teams run up the gut. If you run the ball well against them like Cincinnati did, you can frustrate them, and when they are frustrated, they give up big plays, especially on deep balls. When they play cover 3, the intermediate middle area of the field is often left open, and teams exploit that with skinny post patterns. The unit has been very inconsistent all year, and had near melt downs in the final minutes against both USF and North Carolina. This defense has posted solid overall numbers, but they appear to be a bit of a paper tiger. Syracuse really embarrassed this group a few weeks ago, and the book on how to beat them appears to be out.

Conclusion
Louisville has a great offense and a mediocre defense that is capable of playing great or playing poorly, led by their defensive minded head coach, who has done a great job preparing his team. The Cardinals are a young, hungry team who has a had a great year, but they know there's still a lot on the line for them.This is the most talented team Rutgers will face in the regular season, but the Cards' lack of senior leadership could be a problem this week, as they are on the road and have numerous outside distractions to deal with.

Wednesday, November 28, 2012

Break Down of the Week: Rutgers Goes Old School to Stop Cincy

Rutgers has been a defense first time for quite a few years now. Greg Schiano was one of the top defensive minds in college football, and he used his fast, attacking style of defense to stifle opponents on his way to building Rutgers into a respectable program. He has moved on to the NFL, but the Scarlet Knights have kept that style of defense in place under Kyle Flood and new defensive coordinator Robb Smith. During Saturday's telecast of the Pitt game, analyst Joey Galloway mentioned one particular tactic they utilize to attack offensive fronts, defensive line slanting.

Before we go in depth with this slant technique  let's cover the basics. All defenses, no matter the front, assign a player to defend a gap. Some defenses ask their defensive lineman to defend 2 gaps, but most of the time, every lineman and linebacker is assigned to one specific gap. The area between the center and guard is the "A gap" on both sides. The gap between the guard and tackle is the "B gap" on both sides, and the gap between the tackle and tight end is the "C gap." The area outside of the tight end is the "D gap". In a base 4-3 defense like the one Rutgers plays, you will normally see the nose tackle play one of the A gaps with the middle linebacker playing the other, the three technique tackle in one B gap with an outside linebacker in the other B gap, and the defensive ends playing in the C gap on one side and the D gap on the other, and an OLB guarding the other C gap to the tight end side. It looks something like this:

Against Cincinnati two weeks ago, Rutgers played an outstanding game defensively. They shut the Bearcats down most of the day, but early in the third quarter, Cincy marched down the field to Rutgers' 6 yard line, where they were faced with a 4th and 1. Butch Jones decided to go for it, and Robb Smith dialed up something a bit different to confuse the Bearcats. He called for a throw back defense that that was prominent in '60's and 70's, the 5-2 monster with a defensive line slant. (Click to enlarge)

On the 4th down play, Cincinnati brings their 12 personnel onto the field (1 RB 2 TE), and Rutgers counters with their base (4-3) personnel. Cincy lines up with both TE's to the left out of their shot gun set and the Scarlet Knight defensive line shifts to the weak side of the formation. In the obvious run situation near the end zone, Rutgers brings both safeties up into the box, with Duron Harmon lining up in an outside shade of the tight end, assigned to the D gap and serving as the 5th defensive lineman for all intents and purposes. Lorenzo Waters is down in the box as an extra run supporter as well, playing on the weak side. Jamal Merrell is also lined up to weak side, acting as the monster in this front to the outside. Scott Vallone appears to be assigned to the play side A gap, while Steve Beauharnais is over the weak side A gap. Darius Hamilton (weak side) and Khaseem Greene (strong side) are over the B gaps. Marcus Thompson (weak) and Ka'Lial Glaud (strong) are over the C gaps, while Harmon is over the D gap, and Merrell and Waters are roaming free on the weak side. With this defensive alignment, Cincinnati thinks they have numbers to the strong side (left side in this case) of their formation, with 5 blockers (2 TE, 3 OL) against only 4 Rutgers defenders. They decide to run to the strong side of the formation, and they think if they are able to get a hat on a hat and a double team at the point of attack, they will easily pick up the first down with the basic inside zone run they call.

Sunday, November 25, 2012

Rutgers Stumbles in Loss to Pitt 27-6

This game always had a weird vibe to it. Some people even thought this game was meaningless. It just seemed like a forgone conclusion that the winner of the Louisville- Rutgers game that was scheduled just a few days after this one would decide who earns the Big East's BCS bid. Louisville would take care of UConn, and the result of this game against Pitt would not matter at all. But as it is often the case in the Big East 2.0, things do not go as planned, and the Cardinals lost to the bottom feeding Huskies in triple overtime, and Rutgers blew their chances of securing an Orange Bowl berth if they would have simply just taken care of  a mediocre Pittsburgh team. They of course did not do that, and they got tripped up in another trap game, as they have so many times in the past. They came out flat, played about as poorly as they could of in all three phases of the game, and were thoroughly out played and out coached in a 27-6 loss to Pitt. Simply put, it was just another bad loss for a program that has become accustomed to such losses.

Rutgers was totally inept on the offensive side of the ball in this game. The play calling was just as conservative as it has been all year, and the players didn't exactly help matters with poor execution and penalties. Rutgers had some early success running the ball, getting some 4 and 5 yard carries, but Pitt started to load up to stop the run, and once that happened, Rutgers could not muster anything. Savon Huggins and Jawan Jamison had nowhere to run, and Dave Brock kept stubbornly pounding the rock up the middle, including on multiple third and longs. It seemed like they weren't really trying to score points and were just content to punt all the time, even when they had pretty good field position. They refused to put the game in Gary Nova's hands at all for some reason and on one of Nova's rare throws in the first half, he was slammed on his head and shoulder and had to miss a series. All in all, Rutgers had the ball 8 times in the first half and they punted it away all 8 times. They had 6 three and outs and a grand total of 48 yards going into the lock room at the half.

Trailing 21-0 a tht estart of the third, Rutgers finally decided to open things up a little bit. Nova was throwing the ball out of shot gun over the middle and he completed passes to Tim Wright and Paul Carrezola for a couple first downs. Huggins had just picked up another first down in Pitt territory on a 3rd and 2, but that run was called back on an Andre Civil holding penalty, and the drive ended with another punt. They continued throwing on their next drive, and Nova was hitting Tim Wright and Quoron Pratt over the middle for first downs, advancing into Pitt territory. Mark Harrison then caught a pass on an out route to set the Knights up on the goal line. Jamison burst into the endzone, but DC Jefferson was called for a hold (it was a good block and did not warrant a flag), negating the score. A pass interference penalty in the endzone got RU a new set of downs, and Brandon Coleman caught a touchdown toss from Nova on a post pattern from 11 yards out to make it 24-6. Kyle Flood decided to go for 2 to make it a 2 possession game, but the try failed. I did not like his decision, as the odds of making 3 straight 2 point tries are not very good, and you just need to take the point there. Dick Vermeil's chart agrees with me. It would end up not mattering though, because Rutgers couldn't do anything else on offense. Nova threw a bad interception on the next drive, and they just packed it in after that.

This offense has shown flashes of brilliance this year, and that makes the overly conservative play calling and penalties even more frustrating. They are capable of doing so much more, but they look like an FCS offense sometimes. You would think the coaches would realize that their stubborn offensive game plans are hurting the team, but that doesn't seem to be the case. The offense is pretty young, but the coaches need to put more faith in them at some point. You have to remember too that Kyle Flood is a rookie head coach, so hopefully he figures out what he's doing wrong with this offense, learn from it, and fix it.

The Scarlet Knight defense certainly did not play their best game either. They dominated in the first quarter, but were embarrassed in the second, so I guess it added up to a mediocre performance overall. On the opening series of the game, they appeared to set the tone with Scott Vallone and Jamil Merrell bringing Pitt tailback Ray Graham down in the backfield to force a punt. They yielded a first down reception to Mike Shanahan on the next series, but they were able to hold Graham in check, and they forced another punt. The secondary was locking things down as well, and Pitt couldn't convert any third downs in the opening quarter, and had three 3 and outs as a result. Things started rolling out of control in the second quarter, however. Tino Sunseri started attacking the flats with the Scarlet Knights bringing heavy pressure, and they were able to march down field with Shanahan finishing the drive off with a TD reception after Brandon Jones was fooled by a double move. Pitt moved the ball effectively on their next drive as well, but Marcus Cooper was able to stop a screen pass that almost went for a touchdown and Jamil Merrell recorded a sack when Sunseri held onto the ball too long to force Pitt out of field goal range.

Pitt was set up in great field position on their next possession, and they were able to advance the ball to the Rutgers two. Fortunately for the Knights though, the Panthers botched a snap exchange, and Logan Ryan was able to recover the loose ball. The offense could not flip field position at all, so the defense would be faced with bad field position again, and that problem was compounded by the fact that Khaseem Greene was flagged for targeting while covering the punt, on what looked like a clean hit to me. I think he led with his shoulder, but you can judge for yourself:
After another questionable penalty, this time Marvin Booker was called for roughing the passer when it appeared he let up before making contact, Graham was able to punch the ball in for a one yard score. Pitt got the ball back again with just over a minute left in the half, and they had a quick, efficient scoring drive that made the Knights look helpless. Ed Tinker caught a TD pass, and it looked like Rutgers' DB defending him could have knocked the pass down if he turned around. If he was able to do so, the Panthers would have been limited to a field goal. Instead, the Scarlet Knights went into the locker room down 21-0.

Rutgers could not stop the run early in the second half, and it led to a Pitt field goal that extend the deficit. Vallone made another big stuff on 3rd and run to force a punt at the end of the third quarter, and he came up with another big stop by getting a tackle for loss following Nova's interception early in the 4th. He was really Rutgers' lone bright spot on the day. They allowed Pitt to make another tack on field goal towards the end of the game.

It was a mediocre game overall for the defense. They dealt with poor field position all day, but they did not perform up to the lofty standards they have set for themselves. They were not awful, holding Pitt to less than 6 yards per pass attempt, while picking up some sacks, and doing ok against the run (despite giving up 3 or 4 long runs), but it was just not good enough. They only forced one turnover, and they had an abysmal second quarter. The defensive line played pretty well, but everyone else was...meh.

This was a typical trap game where Rutgers came out totally flat and lost to an opponent that they should have beaten (even though Pitt has talent and played a great game), as  they were probably looking ahead to their next game.The offense was downright terrible in every way, and the defense could not bail them out, as they merely turned in a mediocre performance and only forced one turn over. The coaches did a poor job in game planing and making in game decisions and adjustments, and the team looked very bad as a result. It was just an all around terrible game. Rutgers must pick themselves up and put in the necessary work to get ready for Louisville in the defacto conference championship game on short week and at home.

Additional Notes
-Jawan Jamison became the first Rutgers player to rush for over 1000 yards since Ray Rice did so in 2007. Congrats to him and his offensive line, that's a big accomplishment.

-With Connecticut's win over Louisville in triple overtime, Rutgers clinched at least a share of the Big East title, but the conference's BCS bid will still be up for grabs on Thursday. This is a big accomplishment, as the Scarlet Knights have never won the conference before, but it really won't feel like they won the conference unless they go to a BCS game. Think of it this way: if they have to share their crown with SYRACUSE, that lessens the accomplishment.

Saturday, November 24, 2012

Game 11: Pitt

Rutgers comes into Heinz Field today, leading the Big East standings and only one win away from at least a share of a conference title. Kyle Flood has kept his team focused all year on "going 1-0 this week" and that focus will certainly be put to test this week, as there are numerous distractions the team has to deal with. The Big 10 news is certainly exciting, and what could be the biggest game in school history is just a few days away, but Rutgers needs to have tunnel vision and focus on a Pitt team that is just as capable of playing great as they are capable of playing like crap. The conditions are probably going to be poor, and there were 4 high school games played at Heinz Field on Friday, so Rutgers big advantage over Pitt, speed, could be neutralized a bit in this one.

Rutgers On Offense
Rutgers played pretty well last week against Cincy, (despite only scoring 10 points) after scuffling a bit in the middle portion of the season. Jawan Jamison is supposedly 100%, but with the conditions the way they are and based on how Savon Huggins played last week, Huggins could see the majority of the carries, pounding the rock inside. Jamison will certainly get his touches too, hopefully in space, but if the field is torn up, he could have problems cutting, especially with the ankle injury. The offensive line will need to play like they did last week, dominating in the run game and protecting the quarterback. Antwan Lowery has a big size advantage over Pitt's defensive line and he should bury people. Pitt's secondary gets torched often by big plays through the air, so if the Scarlet Knights can run effectively, Gary Nova should be able to connect with his receivers on some deep balls off play action. Miles Shuler should see some targets. Pitt's defense is very slow, so RU will hopefully use their superior speed to their advantage, even with the poor conditions.

Rutgers On Defense
Rutgers' defense has been dominant all year, and they need to keep it up after turning in the best effort they have in years last week against Cincinnati. First and foremost, Rutgers needs to stop the runs up the middle. Ray Graham has been pounding opposing defenses (including Notre Dame) into submission, and they need to hold him in check like they did last year. Khaseem Greene is going to need to shut down his brother. Rutgers should try to get one of their bigger defensive line groupings on the field, as Pitt has a massive offensive line, but if they are do not, they need to out quick them. Pitt can not protect the passer, so it is vital the Knights get a pass rush from their front 4. That would also allow them to drop more guys in coverage over the middle, where Tino Sunseri likes to throw to his big possession receivers. As Pitt does not have much of a vertical passing game, I would expect the safeties to play closer to the line than they normally do to stop the run and take away the intermediate passes. Sunseri has been good this year, but I think the defense can rattle him if they hit him and intercept a pass early on.

Injuries
Jamison is said to be a full go, and Andre Civil should play after missing last week. Kicker Kyle Federico is still out with a hip injury.

Prediction Rutgers 24 Pitt 17
I think Rutgers will have a very good day running the ball and will hit on a couple deep balls. My main concern is how the defense will stop the run. Graham may have some success running against them, and if that's the case, they must rattle Sunseri to make the Panthers one dimensional. The weather will not help the Knights, but their focus and senior leadership will be too strong to lose this game with so much on the line.

Friday, November 23, 2012

Know Your Opponent: Pittsburgh

Rutgers and Pitt are eerily intertwined in their recent histories. Former Pitt coach Dave Wannstedt was one of former Rutgers coach Greg Schiano's mentors, going back to their Chicago Bear days, when Schiano was Wanny's secondary coach. When Pitt fired Wannstedt, Rutgers was able to pick up three assistants from his coaching staff, and one of those assistants, Frank Cignetti,  was able to rebuiled Rutgers' broken offense and he, Brian Angelichio and Jeff Hafley were able to assemble two very good recruiting classes before all departing for the NFL. Gary Nova was originally committed to Pitt before flipping to Rutgers not long before signing day, and there's of course former Scarlet Knight QB Tom Savage, who transferred to Pitt this year, and is sitting out as he awaits the opportunity to compete for the starting QB job next year. Rutgers' star linebacker's brother, running back Ray Graham, stars for the Panthers and the two will square off for the fourth and final time of their collegiate careers. These two teams will face off Saturday for what will likely be the last time for the foreseeable future, as both programs are set to move on to greener pastures in the ACC and Big 10.

Pitt So Far
The Panthers are 4-6 this season, and they have been a streaky bunch. They were beaten by FCS foe Youngstown State in their opener, and they were promptly blown out by Cincinnati five days later. They rebounded by beating Virginia Tech and Gardner Webb, before going on another two game streak, dropping contests to Syracuse and Louisville. They ended the 2 game losing streak with another hot streak, topping Buffalo and Temple, and nearly knocking off Notre Dame, who is currently the number one team in the land, on the road in overtime. Pittsburgh was off last week after a Friday night loss to Connecticut.

Coaching Staff
Paul Chryst is Pitt's 3rd head coach since Wannstedt was fired after the 2010 season, and he is 4-6 so far as a head coach. Chryst was previously the offensive coordinator and quarterback coach at Wisconsin, and he has also coached under Mike Riley during two stints at Oregon State and with the San Diego Chargers as well. Chryst runs a physical, pro style offense, and he has one intention as a play caller: to run it down your throat. Despite being a run oriented coach, Chryst has been successful developing quarterbacks. He has done a nice job  resurrecting Tino Sunseri's career this year, and he also coached Russell Wilson, Scott Tolzien, and Derek Anderson. He has assembled a nice 2013 recruiting class so far, and he seems to be invested in Pitt for the long run, so he could have a bright future at the school.

Joe Rudolph is the offensive coordinator, and he was named to the position after Bob Bostad joined Greg Schiano's staff with the Buccaneers. Rudolph was an assistant with the Badgers along with Chryst, and he also coaches tight ends. Dave "Heathcliff''* Huxtable is the defensive coordinator, and he was also a former Badger assistant, coaching the linebackers. He runs a 4-3 defense with the Panthers.

*His middle name is not really Heathcliff, I just made that up.

Offense 71st in PPG, 95th in yards per carry, 8th in passer rating, 35th in yards per play
Pitt leans heavily on their rushing attack, and they can beat you with the play action pass if you sell out against the run. They come at you with a lot of two tight end sets, and power it right at you up the middle. They run mostly inside zone and power plays, with some counters and sweeps thrown in. They have two very good backs in Ray Graham and Rushel Shell. Graham is the best back in the Big East, and he has been on fire lately, as he appears to be fully recovered from the knee injury he suffered last year, after looking hesitant early in the season. Shell is a true freshman who had a monster game against Virginia Tech, but he has seen his carries diminish with Graham returning to form. Upfront, Pitt has a massive offensive line. They are very strong and can rush people around, but they aren't exactly the quickest group. Despite their run blocking prowess, they are amongst the worst in the nation at protecting the passer, and that's why their yards per carry rank is so bad. Tino Sunseri doesn't help matters, holding onto the ball for too long, but he has improved this year by leaps and bounds, and is one of the most efficient passers in the nation. Pitt throws mostly intermediate routes, and Sunseri has some solid weapons. Devin Street is his primary target, and he is a big, tough possession receiver. Mike Shanahan has a similar skill set as Street, but he is more of a big play threat. Pitt is also a very good screen team, with Graham running well in space.

Defense 31st in PPG, 58th in yards per carry, 35th in passer rating, 41st in yards per play
On defense, Pitt runs a 4-3 with a single high safety, and they do not blitz a whole lot. The unit is pretty slow as a whole and they lack experience, but they have turned in some impressive efforts, most notably against Notre Dame. Their best play is three technique tackle Aaron Donald, who is a bit undersized, but very quick. He can rush the passer from inside, and he can get around tackles to stop the run as well. The defensive line can get pushed around at times (like against UConn), and give up big chunks of yardage against the run. At linebacker, Pitt really does not have a stand out player. Their top linebacker is Eric Williams, and he is only 4th on the team in tackles with 44. Pitt's secondary is not very good either, giving up a lot of big plays. They've been torn up several times this year, and they are not helped at all by a pass rush. K'Waun Williams has displayed flashes of brilliance, but he is very inconsistent and red shirt freshman Lafayette Pitts is a talented player who has seen the field more of late. Schematically, Pitt does not do much. They play some man and some zone coverages, and usually bring the strong safety up to stop the run. The free safety stays back and plays center field at all times. This is not a very good defense, and Rutgers could tear them up.

Conclusion
Pitt is one of the most inconsistent teams in the nation, and you never know how they will play on a particular day. They could be the dominant team that beat Virginia Tech, or the awful one that was beaten badly by Connecticut. They have a very strong offense that can run and throw, but you can get pressure on Sunseri and keep the offense off schedule. Defensively, the Panthers have one stand out player in Donald, but a poor group overall. They lack speed on this side of the ball, and they can not rush the passer. This team has played much better at home than they have on the road, and they are coming off a bye, but this team should not be favored over Rutgers, and it would be an upset if they won.

Thursday, November 22, 2012

Thanksgiving Weekend Picks

Happy Thanksgiving everyone. Hope you have a great day.

1. Ohio State 2. Notre Dame 3. Alabama 4. Oregon 5. Georgia 6. Florida 7. Kansas State 8. LSU 9. Texas A&M 10. Stanford 11. South Carolina 12. Florida State 13. Oklahoma 14. Rutgers 15. Louisville 16. Clemson 17. Oregon State 18. Texas 19. UCLA 20. Kent State 21. Northern Illinois 22. Oklahoma State 23. Nebraska 24. Boise State 25. Mississippi State

Hamilton West 21 Steinert 14
The Hornets do not lose to the Spartans, and it certainly ill not happen two years in a row.

TCU 24 Texas 31
If your not in a food coma, it's better than watching the Jets.

Syracuse 34 Temple 20
The Owls have a poor defense, and nobody seems to be able to stop Alec Lemon (other than RU of course). Montel Harris is coming off a career day, and he needs to have another big game to keep Temple close.

LSU 30 Arkansas28
The Hogs end their disappointing season in a rivalry game. Tyler Wilson could have one last big game, but LSU's offense has been playing much better of late.

Ohio 24 Kent State 32
The Golden Flash have already clinched the MAC East.

West Virginia 50 Iowa State 44
Tavon Austin is coming off a huge game against Oklahoma, and the Cyclones won't be able to keep up with him or Geno Smith.

USF 10 Cincinnati 34
Cincy will take out their frustrations on Skip Holtz's wounded squad.

Arizona State 30 Arizona 41
Two well like former Big East coaches square off. (sarcasm)

Georgia Tech 17 Georgia 34
Big rivalry game, but both teams have conference championship games next week.

Connecticut 20 Louisville 35
UConn's not stopping Teddy Bridgewater.

Michigan 17 Ohio State 21
The Buckeyes have a long shot of winning the AP title if they win this one.

Baylor 49 Texas Tech 42
The Bears need a win coming off their upset victory over K-State to be bowl eligible.

Oregon 49 Oregon State 34
Why is this game not on national TV? Both teams are in the top 15.

Florida 12 Florida State 17
The Gators' offense has been struggling.

Oklahoma State 50 Oklahoma 53
Bedlam.

Stanford 20 UCLA 24
They will play again next Friday if Stanford wins.

South Carolina 23 Clemson 30
Clemson will probably go to a BCS game if they win.

Notre Dame 24 USC 21
Sadly the Irish will go to the National Championship game. If Matt Barkley were playing, I think the Trojans would pull off the upset. Help me Marqise Lee, you're my only hope.